To ensure a profitable short-term resale (typically within 12–36 months), the acquisition price of industrial land or pre-development property must allow for both value creation and transactional cost recovery, while remaining below market appreciation projections. The right acquisition price enables margin compression, resale to developers, end users, or institutional buyers.
Below are the key factors and pricing formulas used to define a safe acquisition margin:
1. Target Return on Investment (ROI) or Internal Rate of Return (IRR)
- For short-term resale goals, aim for:
- Minimum gross ROI of 25% to 40% within 1–2 years
- IRR benchmark of 20 %+ if capital is invested in due diligence, entitlement, or infrastructure improvements
- Minimum gross ROI of 25% to 40% within 1–2 years
- Implication: Acquisition price should be 60–75% of projected resale value based on market trends.
2. Net Sale Price Estimation
Estimate resale value using:
- Comparable land sales in the area
- Potential post-zoning or entitlement value
- Per square foot pricing for similar serviced plots or park-ready lots
Then subtract:
- Transaction costs (brokerage, registration, legal)
- Income tax or capital gains
- Holding costs (interest, maintenance, security)
Safe Rule of Thumb:
Maximum acquisition price = 65–70% of net projected sale price
3. Margin-Adjusted Pricing Formula
Acquisition Price =
(Expected Resale Price – Total Costs – Target Profit Margin)
Where:
- Total Costs include:
- Title due diligence, legal fees
- Stamp duty and registration
- Improvement costs (leveling, fencing, road cut-in)
- Escalating land holding taxes or bank interest
- Title due diligence, legal fees
- Target Profit Margin is usually set between 20% and 35% of the sale price, depending on the market cycle.
4. Market Timing and Liquidity Premium
- In fast-appreciating corridors, acquisition at up to 75–80% of current market value may still be viable.
- In slower-moving or oversupplied areas, a larger margin buffer (35–45%) is necessary to account for resale delays or price resistance.